{"id":13136,"date":"2026-07-09T07:37:00","date_gmt":"2026-07-09T03:37:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/omanet.om\/news\/economy\/gulf-companies-reveal-iran-war-toll\/"},"modified":"2026-07-09T11:49:32","modified_gmt":"2026-07-09T07:49:32","slug":"gulf-companies-reveal-iran-war-toll","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/omanet.om\/en\/news\/economy\/gulf-companies-reveal-iran-war-toll\/","title":{"rendered":"Unequal Impact of Iran War on Gulf Companies: What Investors and Business Owners Need to Know"},"content":{"rendered":"<style>\r\n@keyframes hitv3sog-fadein{from{opacity:0;transform:translateY(14px)}to{opacity:1;transform:translateY(0)}}\r\n@keyframes hitv3sog-slideup{from{opacity:0;transform:translateY(20px)}to{opacity:1;transform:translateY(0)}}\r\n@keyframes hitv3sog-pulse{0%,100%{box-shadow:0 0 14px #dc262688}50%{box-shadow:0 0 32px #dc2626,0 0 60px #dc262655}}\r\n@keyframes hitv3sog-shimmer{0%,100%{opacity:0.3;transform:scaleX(0.4)}50%{opacity:1;transform:scaleX(1)}}\r\n@keyframes hitv3sog-glow{0%,100%{opacity:0.6}50%{opacity:1}}\r\n@keyframes hitv3sog-badge{from{opacity:0;transform:scale(0.8)}to{opacity:1;transform:scale(1)}}\r\n<\/style><style>\r\n.hitv3sogw{container-type:inline-size;width:100%;max-width:970px;margin:0 auto;box-sizing:border-box}\r\n.hitv3soga{display:flex;flex-direction:row;align-items:center;justify-content:space-between;width:100%;box-sizing:border-box;text-decoration:none;color:#fff;font-family:-apple-system,BlinkMacSystemFont,'Segoe UI',Roboto,system-ui,sans-serif;position:relative;overflow:hidden;cursor:pointer;background:linear-gradient(135deg,#111118 0%,#080808 100%);border:1.5px solid rgba(255,255,255,0.08);border-radius:14px;gap:20px;padding:20px 40px;transition:border-color .2s}\r\n.hitv3soga:hover{border-color:#dc262688}\r\n.hitv3sogg1{position:absolute;inset:0;background:radial-gradient(ellipse at 50% 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0;white-space:nowrap;overflow:hidden;text-overflow:ellipsis}\r\n.hitv3sogs{font-size:13px;color:rgba(255,255,255,.6);line-height:1.4;margin-top:3px;white-space:nowrap;overflow:hidden;text-overflow:ellipsis}\r\n.hitv3sogbl{display:none;flex-direction:column;gap:5px;margin-top:9px;align-self:flex-start}\r\n.hitv3sogbi{display:flex;align-items:center;font-size:11px;color:rgba(255,255,255,.55);font-weight:500}\r\n.hitv3sogct{position:relative;z-index:1;flex-shrink:0;display:flex;flex-direction:column;align-items:center}\r\n.hitv3sogbtn{display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:6px;padding:10px 24px;background:#dc2626;background-image:linear-gradient(180deg,rgba(255,255,255,.12) 0%,transparent 100%);color:#fff;font-size:14px;font-weight:700;border-radius:8px;white-space:nowrap;box-shadow:0 0 20px #dc262666;border:none;cursor:pointer;font-family:inherit;transition:filter .15s,transform .15s}\r\n.hitv3sogbtn:hover{filter:brightness(1.15);transform:scale(1.04)}\r\n.hitv3sogbr{font-size:9px;color:rgba(255,255,255,.18);text-align:center;margin-top:5px;letter-spacing:.1em;text-transform:uppercase}\r\n\/* \u2500\u2500 Compact horizontal: 380\u2013599px (like 320\u00d7100) \u2500\u2500 *\/\r\n@container (min-width:380px) and (max-width:599px){\r\n  .hitv3soga{padding:12px 22px;gap:12px;min-height:100px}\r\n  .hitv3sogh{font-size:16px}\r\n  .hitv3sogs{display:none}\r\n  .hitv3sogbtn{padding:7px 16px;font-size:11px}\r\n}\r\n\/* \u2500\u2500 Mobile\/card: < 380px (like 300\u00d7250) \u2500\u2500 *\/\r\n@container (max-width:379px){\r\n  .hitv3soga{flex-direction:column;align-items:center;justify-content:space-between;min-height:260px;padding:22px 22px;gap:10px}\r\n  .hitv3sogc{align-items:center;text-align:center}\r\n  .hitv3sogh{font-size:22px;white-space:normal}\r\n  .hitv3sogs{font-size:11px;white-space:normal}\r\n  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solid rgba(255,255,255,0.18);backdrop-filter:blur(8px);-webkit-backdrop-filter:blur(8px);border-radius:20px;padding:3px 10px 3px 7px;margin-bottom:clamp(5px,0.6vw,9px);animation:hitv3sog-badge 0.5s ease both;\"><span style=\"display:inline-block;width:6px;height:6px;border-radius:50%;background:#dc2626;flex-shrink:0;\"><\/span><span style=\"font-size:clamp(8px,0.9vw,10px);font-weight:700;letter-spacing:0.07em;color:rgba(255,255,255,0.88);text-transform:uppercase;white-space:nowrap;\">EXCLUSIVE OMAN OFFER<\/span><\/div>\r\n    <div class=\"hitv3sogh\" style=\"animation:hitv3sog-slideup 0.7s ease both;animation-delay:0.15s;\">Websites For <span style=\"color:#dc2626;\">Omani Businesses.<\/span><\/div>\r\n    <div class=\"hitv3sogs\" style=\"animation:hitv3sog-slideup 0.7s ease both;animation-delay:0.3s;\">Empower your brand with custom digital solutions designed for high conversion and market dominance.<\/div>\r\n    <div class=\"hitv3sogbl\"><div class=\"hitv3sogbi\"><span style=\"display:inline-block;width:5px;height:5px;border-radius:50%;background:#dc2626;flex-shrink:0;margin-right:7px;\"><\/span><span>Responsive designs built for growth<\/span><\/div><div class=\"hitv3sogbi\"><span style=\"display:inline-block;width:5px;height:5px;border-radius:50%;background:#dc2626;flex-shrink:0;margin-right:7px;\"><\/span><span>Fast loading with smart automation<\/span><\/div><\/div>\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  \r\n  <div class=\"hitv3sogct\">\r\n    <button class=\"hitv3sogbtn\" style=\"animation:hitv3sog-pulse 2.5s ease-in-out infinite;animation-delay:1s;\">Build Your Free Website <span style=\"opacity:.9;\">\u2192<\/span><\/button>\r\n    <div class=\"hitv3sogbr\">hit.land<\/div>\r\n  <\/div>\r\n<\/a>\r\n<\/div>\n<p>Companies in the Gulf region, among the most directly impacted by the ongoing conflict with Iran, are set to provide clearer insights into the war\u2019s regional financial effects as they report their second-quarter earnings this week.<\/p>\n<p>Across countries including Saudi Arabia, Oman, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), and Qatar, corporate results are expected to present a mixed picture.<\/p>\n<p>Banks and the real estate sector face significant exposure due to pre-existing challenges, which the conflict has intensified through its influence on inflation and interest rates. Conversely, telecommunications companies have remained largely insulated, benefiting from long-term contracts and relatively stable demand, according to analysts.<\/p>\n<p>Energy firms have encountered supply disruptions during the four-month conflict, but have also potentially benefited from price volatility linked to the closure of the strategic Strait of Hormuz shipping channel.<\/p>\n<p>Tariq Qaqish, deputy CEO of advisory firm FH Capital, noted, \u201cThe second quarter is going to reveal the real impact of the war.\u201d He explained that the first quarter, only partially affected by the February-end outbreak of the conflict, had shown just initial effects on sectors such as tourism and aviation.<\/p>\n<p>### Winners and Losers Vary by Geography<\/p>\n<p>The economic fortunes of Gulf countries\u2014many heavily reliant on hydrocarbons\u2014hinge largely on their dependence on the Strait of Hormuz, the Gulf\u2019s sole sea access point.<\/p>\n<p>Saudi Arabia\u2019s economy, also supported by oil terminals on the Red Sea, is projected to grow by 2.1% this year, according to HSBC forecasts. Similarly, Oman\u2019s stock index, reflecting its position outside the strait, has outperformed.<\/p>\n<p>In contrast, economies of the UAE, Qatar, and Kuwait, which depend on the shipping canal, are expected to contract.<\/p>\n<p>Salman Ahmed, Fidelity International\u2019s global head of macro and strategic asset allocation, remarked that with peace negotiations threatened by renewed strikes, some degree of regional risk premium will persist, citing Iran\u2019s strategic leverage over the strait.<\/p>\n<p>On Wednesday, U.S. President Donald Trump declared that an interim peace agreement with Iran had collapsed following new Iranian attacks on U.S. bases in the Gulf.<\/p>\n<p>S&#038;P Global Ratings analysts warned that \u201ca further confidence shock would exacerbate risk for companies exposed to consumer and service demand.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>### Resilience in Energy and Telecommunications<\/p>\n<p>Oil and gas earnings are forecast to remain robust, as elevated energy prices offset lost volumes due to conflict-related damage and disruptions. HSBC has raised its Brent crude price forecast to $95 per barrel for 2026, estimating second-quarter average prices at $114.<\/p>\n<p>While Saudi Arabia maintained exports through the Red Sea, the UAE\u2019s gas sector suffered setbacks. ADNOC Gas anticipates approximately a 19% year-on-year decline in domestic gas sales linked to an incident at one of its plants.<\/p>\n<p>Telecommunications operators such as Saudi Arabia\u2019s STC and Mobily, along with the UAE\u2019s e&#038;, have demonstrated resilience throughout the conflict.<\/p>\n<p>The consumer sector, including retail and tourism, has experienced disruption, though increased at-home consumption has provided some support. For instance, shares of Dubai-based food delivery firm Talabat have surged by over 60% in the last three months. Meanwhile, Gulf airline flight volumes have nearly returned to normal levels.<\/p>\n<p>### Banks and Real Estate Face Challenges<\/p>\n<p>Gulf banks are expected to report modest single-digit declines in second-quarter profits compared to the previous quarter, driven by reduced fee income from weaker trade finance and lower credit card spending on international travel, according to Elena Sanchez-Cabezudo, head of financials equity research at EFG Hermes.<\/p>\n<p>This decline contrasts with strong performance in January and February, before the full impact of the conflict took hold in the second quarter. Sanchez-Cabezudo emphasized that lenders remain resilient with abundant liquidity.<\/p>\n<p>S&#038;P Global Ratings noted that regional banks have \u201cstable funding profiles,\u201d but ongoing war-related uncertainty is likely to slow their growth. Some UAE banks have attracted deposits by raising interest rates for new savers.<\/p>\n<p>The UAE property market, after years of expansion, is showing signs of strain. Analysts have highlighted risks to expatriate inflows and tourism-related demand if regional tensions continue. Some developers are taking steps to preserve liquidity, including reducing or deferring dividend payments.<\/p>\n<p>Citi reported that Dubai residential sales in the second quarter were \u201csignificantly below pre-conflict\u201d levels, with Abu Dhabi seeing a similar but less pronounced decline. Major market players include Emaar Properties and Aldar Properties.<\/p>\n<p>Francesc Balcells, CIO of EM debt at investment management firm FIM Partners, expressed cautious optimism. He acknowledged that although some real estate developers are lagging, regional credit spreads\u2014reflecting investor risk premiums\u2014have largely normalized. \u201cIt is just an issue of balance sheets; these companies have very strong balance sheets,\u201d he said. \u201cSo they can withstand big shocks like this.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>(Exchange rate: $1 = 3.6724 UAE dirham)<\/p>\n<p><style>\r\n@keyframes hitl8gak-fadein{from{opacity:0;transform:translateY(14px)}to{opacity:1;transform:translateY(0)}}\r\n@keyframes hitl8gak-slideup{from{opacity:0;transform:translateY(20px)}to{opacity:1;transform:translateY(0)}}\r\n@keyframes hitl8gak-pulse{0%,100%{box-shadow:0 0 14px #dc262688}50%{box-shadow:0 0 32px #dc2626,0 0 60px #dc262655}}\r\n@keyframes hitl8gak-shimmer{0%,100%{opacity:0.3;transform:scaleX(0.4)}50%{opacity:1;transform:scaleX(1)}}\r\n@keyframes hitl8gak-glow{0%,100%{opacity:0.6}50%{opacity:1}}\r\n@keyframes 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solid rgba(255,255,255,0.18);backdrop-filter:blur(8px);-webkit-backdrop-filter:blur(8px);border-radius:20px;padding:3px 10px 3px 7px;margin-bottom:clamp(5px,0.6vw,9px);animation:hitl8gak-badge 0.5s ease both;\"><span style=\"display:inline-block;width:6px;height:6px;border-radius:50%;background:#dc2626;flex-shrink:0;\"><\/span><span style=\"font-size:clamp(8px,0.9vw,10px);font-weight:700;letter-spacing:0.07em;color:rgba(255,255,255,0.88);text-transform:uppercase;white-space:nowrap;\">EXCLUSIVE OFFER<\/span><\/div>\r\n    <div class=\"hitl8gakh\" style=\"animation:hitl8gak-slideup 0.7s ease both;animation-delay:0.15s;\">Your Website <span style=\"color:#dc2626;\">Should Sell.<\/span><\/div>\r\n    <div class=\"hitl8gaks\" style=\"animation:hitl8gak-slideup 0.7s ease both;animation-delay:0.3s;\">Custom-built websites with smart automation & AI-powered features.<\/div>\r\n    <div class=\"hitl8gakbl\"><div class=\"hitl8gakbi\"><span style=\"display:inline-block;width:5px;height:5px;border-radius:50%;background:#dc2626;flex-shrink:0;margin-right:7px;\"><\/span><span>SEO-optimized & lightning fast<\/span><\/div><div class=\"hitl8gakbi\"><span style=\"display:inline-block;width:5px;height:5px;border-radius:50%;background:#dc2626;flex-shrink:0;margin-right:7px;\"><\/span><span>Smart features built for your business<\/span><\/div><\/div>\r\n  <\/div>\r\n  \r\n  <div class=\"hitl8gakct\">\r\n    <button class=\"hitl8gakbtn\" style=\"animation:hitl8gak-pulse 2.5s ease-in-out infinite;animation-delay:1s;\">Get Free Consultation <span style=\"opacity:.9;\">\u2192<\/span><\/button>\r\n    <div class=\"hitl8gakbr\">hit.land<\/div>\r\n  <\/div>\r\n<\/a>\r\n<\/div><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<p>Special Analysis by Omanet | Navigate Oman&#8217;s Market<\/p>\n<p>The ongoing Iran conflict has created a <strong>mixed financial landscape<\/strong> across Gulf companies, with <strong>banks and real estate facing increased risks<\/strong> from inflation and weaker demand, while <strong>energy and telecom sectors show resilience<\/strong> due to elevated prices and contract stability. For businesses in Oman, relatively insulated from Strait of Hormuz disruptions, this translates into <strong>opportunities to capitalize on regional volatility<\/strong> and sector-specific strengths, but smart investors must vigilantly monitor geopolitical risks and sector liquidity to navigate uncertainty effectively.<\/p>\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Companies in the Gulf, affected by the Iran war, show mixed Q2 results. Banks and real estate face challenges due to inflation and interest rates, while telecoms remain resilient. Energy firms encounter supply disruptions but may benefit from price volatility caused by the Strait of Hormuz closure. Regional economies&#8217; fortunes vary based on reliance on the strait, with Saudi Arabia and Oman showing growth, while UAE, Qatar, and Kuwait may contract. Consumer sectors face disruptions amid geopolitical uncertainties.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":13137,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[482],"tags":[5514,4181,5515],"class_list":["post-13136","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy","tag-gulf-economy","tag-iran-war-impact","tag-regional-companies"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/omanet.om\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/3446865.jpg","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/omanet.om\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13136","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/omanet.om\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/omanet.om\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/omanet.om\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/omanet.om\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13136"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/omanet.om\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13136\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13138,"href":"https:\/\/omanet.om\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13136\/revisions\/13138"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/omanet.om\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/13137"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/omanet.om\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13136"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/omanet.om\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13136"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/omanet.om\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13136"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}