Gold Price Surge to $5,000 in Q1 2026: What It Means for Your Investment Strategy and Business Growth
Gold traded just $23 below its all-time high on Monday as investors positioned themselves for anticipated US interest rate cuts and a weaker dollar.
Gold prices extended their record surge on Wednesday, maintaining levels above the critical $3,500 mark, last trading at $3,537.81 per ounce. Meanwhile, U.S. crude oil prices dipped slightly by 0.2% to $65.41 per barrel.
In this context, global financial advisory firm deVere Group forecasts that gold could reach $5,000 per ounce before the end of the first quarter of 2026. Nigel Green, CEO of deVere Group, emphasized, “Gold’s proximity to record highs underlines the direction of travel.”
He explained that sustained demand, declining real yields, and ongoing fiscal and geopolitical pressures are key factors likely to drive gold prices up to $5,000 by early 2026. According to Green, the necessary conditions are already present, with momentum steadily increasing.
On Monday morning, spot gold rose 0.9% to $3,477.56 per ounce, marking its highest level since April when it briefly surpassed $3,500. Futures mirrored this rise, while silver prices climbed past $40 for the first time since 2011. The dollar index weakened to its lowest level in over a month, making dollar-priced bullion more attractive to international buyers.
“Gold traditionally benefits in a low-rate environment, and we anticipate rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this month,” Green noted. He added that every interest rate cut diminishes the appeal of cash and bonds. Coupled with persistent inflation, heavy government borrowing, and geopolitical uncertainty, these factors strengthen gold’s investment case.
Central banks remain significant drivers of gold demand. The People’s Bank of China has persistently purchased bullion month after month, while other banks across Asia and the Middle East are expanding reserves at the fastest pace in decades. Green predicts this trend will continue as governments seek to reduce dependence on the US dollar and build more independent balance sheets.
“Gold requires no promises and no permissions—qualities highly valued in today’s fractured system,” Green remarked.
On the supply side, limitations persist. Mining output has stagnated, new discoveries are rare, and environmental and cost challenges are restricting future growth. Green highlighted that strong sovereign demand amid flat supply sets a long-term upward trajectory for gold prices.
Private investors are also reshaping their portfolios. Sovereign mints report robust sales, ETFs are seeing inflows, and institutional investors are increasing their gold allocations. Green expects this shift to accelerate as more investors treat gold as a core holding rather than merely a hedge.
Markets are closely monitoring the upcoming US jobs report, expected on Friday, which could reinforce the case for rate cuts starting in September. “If growth weakens further, the Fed will cut,” Green said, adding that such a move would likely push gold prices decisively above record levels, paving the way toward the $5,000 target.
Trade policy uncertainty remains another supporting factor. The ongoing negotiations by the Trump administration, despite a U.S. court ruling against tariffs, maintain a climate of unpredictability. This scenario is expected to encourage both public and private investors to increase exposure to politically neutral, globally recognized assets like gold.
DeVere Group emphasizes a crucial shift in investor psychology: levels previously viewed as ceilings are now treated as floors. Green explained, “Momentum is self-reinforcing. Each time gold climbs higher, more capital flows in, confirming the trend. This cycle is likely to accelerate movement toward $5,000.”
In conclusion, Nigel Green stated, “Gold reflects today’s economic realities—high debt, unstable currencies, and structural inflation. Most investors have moved beyond debating whether to hold gold; now they are considering how much exposure they want.”
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The surge in gold prices, projected to reach $5,000 per ounce by early 2026, signals a unique opportunity for Omani businesses and investors to diversify portfolios amid global economic uncertainties. For smart investors and entrepreneurs, increasing exposure to gold and related assets could hedge against inflation, currency instability, and geopolitical risks, while businesses should be mindful of supply constraints and shifting demand dynamics in precious metals. This trend underscores the importance of strategic asset allocation in Oman to leverage the momentum of a safer, politically neutral investment amidst volatile markets.
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